Archive for August, 2009

Clash of the Titans

Monday, August 24th, 2009

Google CEO Eric Schmidt’s resignation from the Apple board early this month has tech industry observers picking their seats and calling for hot dogs wrapped in grape leaves. Another tech industry battle of giants may be shaping up, this time to rule the mobile Internet. And for once Microsoft will be watching from the stands instead of fighting it out as one of the gladiators.

Peter Burrows of Business Week gets props for putting the looming fight in historical context. Battles royal are nothing new to the tech industry. In the 1980s it was a double round as Microsoft both wrested the PC away from IBM and muscled past Apple to dominate the personal computing market. In the late 90s it was Microsoft again versus upstart Netscape in the browser wars – a desktop battle over access to the Internet.

What makes the looming Apple-Google battle an epic is that more than just market share is at stake. Like the battles of the 80s it pits open standards against a closed ecosystem. IBM took for granted that the hardware manufacturer would call the shots, the way it was in mainframe days. Apple thought the same thing. Microsoft upended them both, first turning desktop computers into a commodity, then opening its operating system to third-party applications. ‘Openness’ is not a word we associate with Microsoft, the company everyone loves to hate, but it conquered the world by letting in third party apps.

Apple survived, proving that even in the tech industry there are second acts. With the iPhone it has jumped to an early lead in the industry’s fastest-growing segment, the mobile Internet. But one thing hasn’t changed since Apple II days. The iPhone App Store may have thousands of apps, but if you want to play, Apple is referee and scorekeeper … as Google found out when it had an app rejected.

Google, in contrast, is the new champion of open standards, with its Android operating system slated for use in a slew of competing smartphone brands. And with its push for cloud computing it is proposing to move the apps onto the Internet, making the devices in our hands really just super browsers. So the stage is set for a new clash of philosophies: Apple, stylish and powerful but offering what Burrows calls a ‘walled garden,’ while Google offers the cloud.

Meanwhile, what of Microsoft? It hasn’t put down its sword completely, needless to say: Even as Google and Apple square off over the mobile Internet, it is taking aim at Google’s core business with Bing. But Microsoft has always been business-oriented (which is why MS Word has 10,000 features most of us never use and wish would go away). Bing, a ‘decision engine,’ is pretty unabashedly a shopping engine – and also a suitable platform for enterprise search.

Microsoft has never been a great consumer company. It conquered the computing market by offering business productivity suites, with the home computer a bit of an afterthought. It may be leaving old rival Apple and new rival Google to fight it out for the consumer-centric mobile Internet, and concentrating its own efforts on the business end. Meanwhile, take your seats as we await the march of the gladiators.

TecTrends and Meta-Trends

Wednesday, August 12th, 2009

Why are corporate execs nervous about social networking, but adopting it for their firms anyway? What is small interfering RNA, and why has it sent Big Pharma scooping up startups in a costly hunt for a ‘magic bullet?’ If you are in the global tech industry, or interested in technology, these are things you’d like to know – and may be things you need to know. But finding out about them isn’t always easy.

When it comes to the tech industry, Google can be a hall of mirrors. A few big stories break through into the mass media for a day or two, but blink and you’ve missed them. Some stories fascinate the media – Twitter comes to mind – but you won’t find out what is going on behind the scenes. Most of the real tech news is covered in the trade and tech press, and covered in greater depth, but keeping track of it all is hard.

To make it easier, we at TecTrends / Information Sources follow more than 175 magazines and journals, from Business Week and Scientific American to specialist publications such as Internet Retailer and Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology. We go through them and pick out the most important and interesting articles to highlight and summarize, so you won’t have to. (TecTrends Reporter provides in-depth coverage for professionals, at a pretty modest charge.)

Now we are launching a new service, TecTrends Monitor. In reading the tech press I see patterns, trends that run through multiple articles and publications. When half a dozen articles on the same topic show up on my desk, that’s a story in its own right. Is it just a fad? Maybe. Or maybe it’s a tipoff to the Next Big Thing. My goal, as the Official TecTrends Blogger, is to give you a running view of these trends as I see them – what the trade press is talking about, and why.

Like the tech press, blogs are a fast moving target, and this one will evolve as it goes along. That is part of the beauty of blogging (as I have found out with my personal blog). Another beauty of blogging is comments, and your comments and observations are invited here. I hope that TecTrends Monitor will foster an online community of people interested in technology and the tech industry, and become a gathering place for ongoing discussion.

Although this blog is supported by TecTrends, like any blog it is something of a personal adventure. All opinions here are my own (or those of other bloggers and commenters), and do not represent the views of Information Sources and TecTrends.

And with that, welcome to TecTrends Monitor. Watch this space!