Archive for February, 2010

Tech Execs Committing Truth

Sunday, February 21st, 2010

In an article unfortunately not directly available online, Roben Farzad of Business Week talks about ‘AT&T’s iMess.’ That is all you need to hear to know the basic story. iPhone users love their iPhones, but they hate AT&T and are quick to say so.

Analysts are paid to commit truth, and Rich Doherty of telecom market research firm The Engineering Group has some embarrassing truth for AT&T, ‘I’m not aware of any company in this country that has had so aloof a stance toward quality of service.’

I get my landline and broadband from AT&T, and have no problem with them. But I have none of the warm and fuzzy feelings I have toward my computer or software. Bandwidth is a classic commodity good, without distinctiveness, something you only notice when it isn’t available or reliable. But it can’t be good for a company when the only buzz it is getting is about bad service.

In other news, people talk about having thousands of tunes on their iPods, and they can’t have bought them all from the iTunes Store at 99 cents a pop. Lee Gomes at Forbes lets the cat out of the bag. Content piracy remains pervasive – and in fact the industry depends on it.

People find music to play on all those iPods. And Gomes cites one representative from a computer maker that produces high end home theater setups, who admits that they are used mainly for viewing illegally downloaded movies.

Also in Gomes’ sights, ’some newspaper publishers’ – read Rupert Murdoch – who complain about Google. People don’t need Google News to read stuff lifted from Rupert’s rags; there are a million gossip and political blogs happy to provide it. And if they didn’t, how many readers would pay for it?

The underlying truth is that we have no problem paying to use the Internet. Mobile or landline, we pay every month, and only complain if the service is bad. What we won’t do, except in exceptional cases, is pay a second time to see particular content.

And yes, my implied stance here, which is that of most Internet users, creates an impossible business model. But if content is king, the customer is emperor, and the users will likely win in the end.

Also the article is worth reading just for the wind-up quote from William Watkins, former CEO of disk drive maker Seagate, about the content his products are used to store. ‘We’re not changing the world,’ said Watkins. ‘We’re building a product that helps people buy more crap–and watch porn.’

Of course, that is a way to change the world, too. It worked for a tech entrepreneur named Johannes Gutenberg.

The Paradox of Social Media

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

A column about coming Internet trends in Mashup magazine, by co-editor Ben Parr, brought me face to face with a curious paradox.

The coming Web will be media-centric, he suggests, with ‘text-based interactions’ dwindling. But, adds Parr, social media will be its largest component. When you go online in a few years, he says, ‘most of the time you spend will be to connect with your friends.’

It is easy to hum along and nod to either one, but do they quite go together? Sometimes, yes, and there is nothing new about that. Entertainment and socializing have gone together since we did them around the cave fire. Now we can just do it at a distance, and mobile.

But usually we end up doing one or the other. We get to talking and the music fades to background, or we sit back quietly to listen to the music.

Now that we can have gadgets that let us do both, of course we will want both. But there is still a subtle paradox. The social part of social media is basically about chatting, whether it is voice or text.

Sure, we can send videos back and forth, but someone will have to make the videos. Most of us can’t come up with that many clever things to do with our iPhone cameras. (Or, in the enterprise world, send each other enough PowerPoint presentations that are actually worth the time.)

So whether we immerse ourselves in media alone or with friends, when we do it we’ll be communing first and foremost with … content creators. Who, for quality content, will mostly have to be paid one way or another.

Strategic Technologies of 2010

Monday, February 15th, 2010

An article led me to information research firm Gartner’s interesting list of the Top 10 Strategic Technologies for 2010. First the short form (not in a ranking order):

Cloud computing, advanced analytics, client computing, IT supporting green initiatives, reshaping the data center, social computing, security based on activity monitoring, flash memory, virtualization for availability, and last but not least, mobile applications.

Some items on this list are well known buzz generators: the cloud, social computing, and mobile. Advanced analytics comes close, at least in the enterprise ‘verse.

Others are less obvious. Flash memory is nothing new, but it is getting cheaper and taking over jobs once reserved for hard drives, with implications not only for mobile devices (more memory!) but also spillover effects on important little details like power supply and cooling.

‘Reshaping the data center’ isn’t really about technology at all, but firms being more careful about paying for fully installed capacity they may not use for years. Provide the infrastructure, says Gartner, but don’t fill the space till you need to.

‘Virtualization for availability,’ on the other hand, is an interesting twist I hadn’t heard before – keeping a virtual machine’s memory updated in more than one location, so that if the machine hosting the VM itself crashes a backup physical machine can step right in to keep the VM running.

Read the original to fill in the rest of the story. It is a good reminder of the variety of fronts that technology is advancing on – some of them all over the news, others less obvious because they work at the back end, and sometimes not technology itself but learning how to handle it.

SEO Spam: Riding For a Fall?

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Internet users might soon be fed up enough to demand action against search engine optimization (SEO) spam. But they probably won’t have to, because the search engines will take action for them.

Once before at TecTrends Monitor I looked at the SEO business, and a second look is prompted by a new piece on Demand Media by David Carr in the New York Times.

The story is again about astonishing output – five times more YouTube videos than any other source; a million articles floating around online. And the remarkable, semi-automated way it is produced, with search algorithms spitting out topics (mostly in the how-to genre) for ’sharecropper’ writers and videographers who then grind out content in bulk.

A number of firms have jumped into this business, and AOL may be about to join them. The problem is that much if not most of what is produced this way is junk, produced in haste by people who don’t know or care much about the subject, but know how to crank out boilerplate text filled with search terms.

search fail described by the always useful Farhad Manjoo at Slate illustrates the problem. During a recent scandal the top search result for a celebrity plus mistress’s pictures rewarded salacious searchers not with the pictures, but merely an illiterate SEO spam ‘news’ article crammed with text repeating the celebrity’s name and ‘mistress’s pictures.’

This works, in a nutshell, because Google (and Bing) have not yet figured out how to identify this sort of junk and filter it out of search results. Just give them time, because SEO spam detracts from the quality of their product, namely good search results.

Search engine algorithms aren’t going to be literary critics in the foreseeable future. But linguists will probably be able to work out the pattern and density of keywords that marks spam or semi-spam, not substantive text, and adjust search results accordingly. Which will be the end of the SEO spam business.

The bottom line here is that usable work has to be created by and for humans, not with automated shortcuts. And while many labors of love can be had online for free, the rest you have to pay for, and pay enough to get coherent results, not SEO spam or other kinds of junk.