Archive for the ‘Mobile Internet’ Category

iSlate?

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

Update: As it turns out, it’s the iPad. Isn’t that awfully close to ‘iPod?’ Farhad Manjoo raves about it at Slate, but even he admits that it isn’t suited to typing much more than a tweet. Does it matter? We’re about to find out.

[Original post]

Steve Jobs knows what I am thinking: Does the world really need a tablet computer? The idea has been around forever in geek years. Jobs’ former nemesis Bill Gates predicted in 2001 that tablets would be the most popular type of PC within five years.

We are still waiting for them to break the 1 percent barrier, but the wait could be over tomorrow, when Apple is expected to make the public launch of its tablet, rumored (by Slate magazine) to be the iSlate.

So, does the world really need a gadget that is too big for your pocket or even your purse, but too small to have a true keyboard? Steve Jobs knows that my opinion doesn’t matter, since I’m not a mobile device user and don’t own iAnything. I’m not the target market.

The consensus seems to be that no, there really isn’t much market out there for a tablet computer – but Apple will probably manage to create one. I have to agree with the conventional wisdom.

The Apple mystique has always eluded me, but there is no doubting that it exists. The iPod transformed music listening, and the iPhone is transforming the way we think about smartphones, so no one will be surprised if Apple also transforms the way we think about tablet PCs.

They have a rare talent for guessing what consumers will like, and they certainly have everyone’s attention. I wouldn’t want to bet against them.

Tech Geeks Lending a Hand in Haiti

Monday, January 18th, 2010

An article by Bob Pool in yesterday’s Los Angeles Times brings one small bit of positive news about Haiti. Groups of volunteer ‘techies and geo-geeks’ from San Diego to London are building quick, simple mapping tools that can be used from cellphones, to help rescue and recovery workers make their way around Port au-Prince.

This is the flip side, so to speak, of all those news stories about 100,000 apps in the Apple App Store. Most of them are no doubt pretty frivolous, and those of us involved in the tech industry in whatever way must sometimes feel as if we are in the toy business. And not infrequently we are.

So, from more then one perspective, it is good to see how this technology and the people who create it can make a real difference in one corner of the world.

Portability and Playing Around

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

Farhad Manjoo of Slate is an insightful observer of the tech scene, but in writing about tablet computers a few days ago he made two odd statements.

A remark about ‘reading the New York Times online,’ seems like a journalist’s rather wishful ideal of online reading habits. As I noted a couple of posts back, online reading habits (at least mine) do not show much brand loyalty, instead following links outward to other sites. If a site doesn’t have those outbound links, no problem: Google does.

And, says Manjoo, a decade ago ‘a computer was something you used at the office or for schoolwork, not to goof off.’ But one of the first surprises I had when I went online in the mid 90s was that forum traffic was highest during working hours, lower in the evenings and on weekends. People might have gotten their computers as business tools, but were goofing off on them plenty.

Really what Manjoo is arguing is that the way we goof off on computers is changing – that with YouTube and ebooks, computer goofing-off is becoming more like TV, a couch potato activity. (The TV marketing euphemism is ‘lean-back.’) So who needs a keyboard or mouse?

The flip side argument is made by Kathy Sharp in OMMA, writing about interactive TV ads. ‘Somehow it was always assumed,’ she writes, ‘or perhaps just fervently prayed for, that the Internet would simply turn into a TV with keyboard.’ Instead, as the wall sized screen gets an Internet connection, TV is becoming more like the Internet.

What does this mean for the future of notebooks, netbooks, and other devices bigger than a smartphone and smaller than a full laptop? Portable devices are always going to pose a tradeoff between two different meanings of ‘handy’ – easy to carry around versus easy to manipulate.

The classic desktop and the smartphone mark the two endpoints. What goes in between is still being worked out, and will depend less on technology than on user habits and preferences. But I suspect that we will want to interact with our toys, big or small, more rather than less, and the most successful design innovations will reflect this.

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TecTrend of the Year

Thursday, December 31st, 2009

It was not in medicine or biotech, where the news has been on the political front, and the magic bullets of genomics are proving elusive.

It was not in search. Bing avoided being scoffed at, but it has not upended search or put any real scare into Google. Wolfram Alpha never understood my queries the handful of times I played with it.

Social media are in contention. This was the year that Facebook and Twitter made the big time. My brother in law offered an alternate view, unkindly calling Facebook ‘AOL for the 21st century.’ Sites that depend on coolness are always at risk from a newer, cooler site, but having an online social presence has gone mainstream, like email a decade ago.

Mobility has also gone mainstream, and the iPhone edges out the Kindle as Gadget of the Year – not its debut, but the year you couldn’t avoid it if you wanted to. But as one commentary noted (alas, I forgot to bookmark it so I can’t link it), the more powerful smartphones become, the more they become just another way to go online. Mobile will merge into the Internet.

Which makes this the year of the Cloud. It isn’t a gadget, and it doesn’t have the pop culture visibility of social media, because cloud computing is inherently a back end technology. Most of the time we don’t know, care, or think about where our applications and data are stored, only that we can get at them (and other people can’t).

But as I’ve suggested previously, mobility reinforces the push toward the cloud. So long as you only have one computer, local storage is simple and convenient. But once you also have a mobile device, you want handy access to your apps and files – meaning they have to be available to you online, and it no longer really matters where they are stored, only that they are secure.

So I designate cloud computing as our official TecTrend of the Year for 2009. Stay on top of industry news with TecTrends Reporters, and you won’t have to wait for another New Year’s Eve to know next year’s trends.

Flying Into the Cloud

Thursday, September 3rd, 2009

Nothing on the current Internet scene is bigger than the Cloud. Gmail is there, and Google is staking its future on the Cloud. But then, Google has always been in the Cloud. Social networking, the hottest thing, is all in the Cloud. And Software as a service (SaaS), provided from the Cloud, is a looming overcast over the enterprise marketplace.

The Cloud is as big as the Internet sky, and like an invisible tornado it wants to hoover up everything – your apps, your operating system, the backup drive tucked into a corner of your desk – and whisk your entire desktop to Oz. No more massive operating system taking up half your memory before you open any applications.

But there are a few bumps of turbulence in the cloudy sky. An intruder hacked into the Google Apps Twitter implementation, getting in through the password reset function. (How wonderfully, or dreadfully, ordinary.) This caused a stir for the City of Los Angeles, which is planning a shift to Google email and productivity suites, and triggered a whiff of anxiety among cloud computing advocates.

It also triggered articles in the business press that, like many such articles, play Captain Obvious, reminding you of things you already know but easily forget. Do ask your cloud vendor questions about security. (And really ask; don’t just ask boilerplate questions and accept a boilerplate answer.)

Some particular technology applications favor the Cloud. Server demand can fluctuate widely, for example, and a server farm can assign units as needed. An e-commerce firm with its own servers must either face slowdowns when traffic is heaviest (sale days, for example), or must keep servers that sit idle most of the time. Perhaps it doesn’t hurt that most people with websites, like me, have them hosted somewhere. So we are accustomed to having our websites hosted out in the Cloud.

Other Cloud successes seem due to particular firms and their services, such as SalesForce.com. I don’t have a staff of salespeople, so I haven’t a clue what this SaaS package does, but it must be doing it pretty well because it gets a lot of attention.

Whether the Cloud conquers business computing is going to end up depending mostly on fairly prosaic things like comparative cost of onsite hardware versus cloud services, perceived service quality, and how many people out there come up with killer-app Cloud solutions.

On the consumer side it is more complicated. Are people comfortable storing their personal files off in the Cloud somewhere? Don’t some people wish they could delete some of their Facebook pictures, and really delete them? And I like knowing where the manuscript of my novel is, a copy safely on my backup drive. How safe that really is, is another matter, but I like the feeling. Do I really want to entrust it to the Cloud?

But the mobile Internet will probably win it for the Cloud. My desktop is one thing, but no one expects to keep everything they own, so to speak, loaded into their smartphone. Which won’t keep you from demanding access to all your virtual stuff, whenever and wherever you want it. With a mobile device storing something in the Cloud feels natural. The coming mobile Internet age will probably leave earthbound desktop users like me as quaint fossils, with my external drive still next to my landline phone.

Clash of the Titans

Monday, August 24th, 2009

Google CEO Eric Schmidt’s resignation from the Apple board early this month has tech industry observers picking their seats and calling for hot dogs wrapped in grape leaves. Another tech industry battle of giants may be shaping up, this time to rule the mobile Internet. And for once Microsoft will be watching from the stands instead of fighting it out as one of the gladiators.

Peter Burrows of Business Week gets props for putting the looming fight in historical context. Battles royal are nothing new to the tech industry. In the 1980s it was a double round as Microsoft both wrested the PC away from IBM and muscled past Apple to dominate the personal computing market. In the late 90s it was Microsoft again versus upstart Netscape in the browser wars – a desktop battle over access to the Internet.

What makes the looming Apple-Google battle an epic is that more than just market share is at stake. Like the battles of the 80s it pits open standards against a closed ecosystem. IBM took for granted that the hardware manufacturer would call the shots, the way it was in mainframe days. Apple thought the same thing. Microsoft upended them both, first turning desktop computers into a commodity, then opening its operating system to third-party applications. ‘Openness’ is not a word we associate with Microsoft, the company everyone loves to hate, but it conquered the world by letting in third party apps.

Apple survived, proving that even in the tech industry there are second acts. With the iPhone it has jumped to an early lead in the industry’s fastest-growing segment, the mobile Internet. But one thing hasn’t changed since Apple II days. The iPhone App Store may have thousands of apps, but if you want to play, Apple is referee and scorekeeper … as Google found out when it had an app rejected.

Google, in contrast, is the new champion of open standards, with its Android operating system slated for use in a slew of competing smartphone brands. And with its push for cloud computing it is proposing to move the apps onto the Internet, making the devices in our hands really just super browsers. So the stage is set for a new clash of philosophies: Apple, stylish and powerful but offering what Burrows calls a ‘walled garden,’ while Google offers the cloud.

Meanwhile, what of Microsoft? It hasn’t put down its sword completely, needless to say: Even as Google and Apple square off over the mobile Internet, it is taking aim at Google’s core business with Bing. But Microsoft has always been business-oriented (which is why MS Word has 10,000 features most of us never use and wish would go away). Bing, a ‘decision engine,’ is pretty unabashedly a shopping engine – and also a suitable platform for enterprise search.

Microsoft has never been a great consumer company. It conquered the computing market by offering business productivity suites, with the home computer a bit of an afterthought. It may be leaving old rival Apple and new rival Google to fight it out for the consumer-centric mobile Internet, and concentrating its own efforts on the business end. Meanwhile, take your seats as we await the march of the gladiators.