Murdoch versus Google: The Future of Content

December 20th, 2009

A column by Richard Morgan in The Deal reports on a recent Australian TV interview in which Rupert Murdoch railed against free online content, and threatened to delist all his newspapers’ content from Google.

This was throwing red meat to blogs and forums, and the uproar was as predictable as it was entertaining. Rupert Murdoch is not a beloved figure, best known for hard edged politics and less than highbrow journalism. If the New York Post vanishes from my Google results I won’t miss it.

In contrast, unless you are a publisher or a rival search engine, what’s not to like about Google? We use it constantly, it gives pretty good results, and we don’t pay a dime. Even the ads are unobstrusive.

All the same, of course, Murdoch has a point. Whatever you think of his content, quality content is expensive to produce. And as a content creator myself I’d certainly like to be paid for mine.

But Murdoch also says ‘we shouldn’t have had it free all this time,’ and here he is wrong. If online news content weren’t free, for the most part we wouldn’t be paying for it – we simply wouldn’t be reading it. (There are exceptions for specialized content, as from Murdoch’s own Wall St. Journal.)

I read online news much the same way I read print magazines at my local library branch or Barnes & Noble. I’ll grab half a dozen magazines and thumb through them, reading any interesting articles, then toss the issue aside.

Online, it’s a series of Firefox tabs I work my way through, but I’m no more loyal to the sources I’m reading online than to the stack on a library table. My ‘loyalty’ goes to the library, or to Firefox, not the publications they make available.

When Salon, Slate, and the NYT tried to put content behind a subscription wall I simply went elsewhere. So did most of their readers, which is why the paywalls were abandoned.

But I still subscribe to a dead tree paper that thumps onto my driveway every morning, just as I buy books even though I could check them out of the library.

For this reason the uproar of publishers over Google Books also strikes me as wrongheaded. I use Google Books regularly. But it doesn’t replace book buying, it replaces the library/bookstore easy chair (and Interlibrary Loan for books not readily available). The excisions forced by publishers are as needless as they are annoying.

Print, I suspect, is far from dead. As the column linked above notes, 48 percent of American adults still read a print paper, and subscriptions are holding up surprisingly well.

This does not solve the problem of online content. Perhaps advertisers will realize that there is more to ads than click-throughs. (They pay plenty for TV ads, and no one clicks on those.)

In the longer term, I suspect we will evolve toward channels of content.

For books, a spectrum running from Google Books to the Kindle to hardbacks. For periodicals, perhaps, a spectrum from online to ’streaming’ print to the dead tree local paper.

Information does not want to be free, it wants to be accessible. And that is what the market, technology, and culture are gradually working their way through.

Update: An article I just came across in The Economist reports a study confirming what I called the lack of loyalty in online reading. But they gave it a better name, primly – or perhaps tartly – referring to British online news readers as  ‘shamelessly promiscuous‘ about where they go for content.

TecTrends Reporter on Innovation: Everything Old is New Again

December 7th, 2009

The latest search technology innovation? Human intelligence. Last month I noted this article in the San Francisco Chronicle about a growing trend: Human filtering to improve information quality. The theme comes up again in an article that just crossed my desk, ‘Bing or Bust,’ by Benjamin Johnson in November’s Computers in Libraries.

Bing, says Johnson, has rediscovered categories. But his real point is not Bing versus Google. It is the continuing – and growing – relevance of traditional library skills such as classification and cataloging in cutting through the clutter to make sense of information. This is why at Information Sources a trained librarian assigns subject headings and maintains our proprietary thesaurus of metadata.

Now, on to November’s TecTrends Reporter on Innovations in Science and Technology. It covers the waterfront, as they used to say, summarizing 57 articles across the gamut of technologies. A few highlights:

  • Much to Apple’s dismay, technically sophisticated Mac fans are making ‘Hackintosh’ computers by adapting cheap netbooks to run the Mac operating system. Apple may not be happy, reports Fast Company, but firms such as the major social sites have profited by letting their customers take the lead and following where they go.
  • If you are like me, you take steel for granted as a mature, even ‘old’ technology. But I was wrong, says Industry Week. Innovations in materials science, from advanced steels to carbon fibers, have made lightweight vehicles 163 pounds lighter in just the last two years. It’s not your father’s Oldsmobile anymore, or even his steel.
  • Quantum computing has weird properties, rooted in fundamental physics, that allow quantum computers to crack a code in minutes that would take a powerful conventional computer 50 million years. (!) And, reports Baseline, they are already being tested in the laboratory, with basic models to be offered for sale in the next year.
  • Invisible ink has a long history, but according to The Economist there could be a big future for the opposite – ink that fades out after a set period of time. Potential applications would include transportation tickets, but no word on whether you can jot notes on your expired, and faded, bus transfer.
  • Carbon nanotubes could bring back spring-powered devices, according to EE World. Nanotube springs may be competitive with batteries, storing 1000 times more power for their weight than steel springs like the one in a traditional wind-up clock.

You could Google “innovations in technology” and take your chances with the first few pages of 250,000 hits. Or you can let TecTrends Reporters be your wilderness guide. At Information Sources, we read the tech press because you don’t have time.

Thanksgiving Leftovers

November 29th, 2009
  • Finally, a conspiracy theory I can believe in. Lee Gomes speculates in Forbes that the whole Vista fiasco was a marketing ploy by Microsoft to drive sales of well-received Windows 7. After all, says Gomes, the biggest selling point of many Microsoft releases is that they fix the flaws of the previous release. (Ba-da-Bing!)
  • Meanwhile, Microsoft is establishing a cloud presence. It has spent $500 million for a data center near Chicago, where 400,000 servers will run on Microsoft’s Azure operating system. But to compete in the cloud, Microsoft will have to build a new business model as well, in place of those software upgrades that have served it so well.
  • And nuclear power struggles to make a comeback. In a section devoted to energy, Technology Review looks at nuclear’s prospects 30 years after Three Mile Island. (No full free access.) The industry’s challenges now are mainly financial. Only large plants are economical, but their high front end price is a barrier, given the uncertain future cost of other power sources.

If Content is King, Where’s My Crown?

November 15th, 2009

Following the tech press is always instructive, frequently entertaining, and sometimes alarming. An October article by Daniel Roth in Wired,The Answer Factory,’ falls into that third group.

No writer likes to hear that the divine spark of creativity can be automated, particularly if this innovation is associated with low paying work, but that is exactly what Demand Media has accomplished.

The technology itself is pretty clever. Demand Media hunts through ‘long tail’ search terms, the sort that Google sells cheap. Then it feeds them through a ‘Knowledge Engine’ that determines what other search terms they are connected with, creating a sort of tag cloud.

At this point humans are brought in to arrange the jumble into prospective titles for articles or videos that, according to the algorithm, have a potential audience out there. (Mostly how-to’s of one sort or another.) Finally Demand Media hires writers or videographers to produce an article or video that fits the title.

The work is low paid, but there is a lot of it (and Demand Media pays, quickly and reliably). One videographer has ground out a staggering 40,000 videos – in all, the company has some 170,000 videos on YouTube. In one typical day he shot ten kayaking instructional  videos in a couple of hours, earning $20 for each.

Should I be offended or worried by this intellectual assembly line? I’m not. The technology is pretty cool, and it is giving a lot of writers and videographers some steady income. There’s nothing wrong with that.

The articles and videos are not the greatest, but that merely points out an ancient adage that the Internet has not completely changed: By and large, you get what you pay for. And King Content isn’t the first king to have to skimp on the crown.

We Resemble That Remark!

November 4th, 2009

We review hundreds of articles every month for TecTrends, and occasionally one strikes close to home. That happened with a recent piece by James Temple for the online San Francisco Chronicle, ‘Personalization moves into the screening spotlight.’

Search is not enough. For all the improvements in the algorithms used by Google and other search engines, robots still have their limits. Savvy online researchers, reports Temple, are finding out that they still need good old fashioned human intelligence to separate the gold from the dross online.

This is no news to us. At Information Sources we have two decades of experience in guiding our customers through the tech industry wilderness to the information they are seeking. We filter out the press releases and speculation, and identify the articles that will tell you where the action is.

TecTrends Reporters summarize this content and – just as important – give you complete cross reference keywords for industry verticals, companies, and products.

These keywords and phrases also go into a proprietary heirarchical thesaurus. As of this year the TecTrends thesaurus provides a relationship taxonomy stocked with over 52,000 individual records.

So we were pleased to come across Mr. Temple’s little nugget of information gold. If you are getting lost in the information wilderness, let us be your guide.

We read the tech press because you don’t have time.

The March of Time: Hello, Windows 7; Goodbye, GeoCities

October 28th, 2009

Windows 7 is out, and getting good reviews. Even the reviews that go looking for faults don’t seem to be finding that many.

A cynic would say to just give it time; Vista also got some good early reviews. But perhaps Microsoft learned from Vista. When all else fails, falling flat on your face can be instructive; it works for the rest of us.

Anyway, it is not as easy to hate Microsoft as it used to be. Apple has gone from cult to hot, Windows Mobile lags, and Google is everyone’s next world conqueror.

But Windows is not going away. Probably it will run on my next desktop, and there’s a good chance it will be running on yours. Perhaps everything will eventually get beamed up into the cloud, but a lot of people will still want or need a powerful local machine and an operating system to run it.

For most of us, for the next few years, that will mean Windows 7. I don’t need to think about it till I upgrade my machine, but if you deal with desktop computing at the enterprise level you need to start thinking about it now.

Meanwhile, GeoCities closed its doors, providing an occasion for sentimental commentary about this ancestor of Web 2.0. The Web, as it turns out, is not forever after all. Many people might be just as happy that their old GeoCities homepage, abandoned ‘under construction’ years ago, has finally disappeared. If they even remember they ever had it.

Just remember that one day your Facebook page may also be half forgotten, then disappear.

TecTrends Reporter on Healthcare: Watching the Vital Signs

October 22nd, 2009

Healthcare is at the center of the Washington universe this month. It is also a key component of the tech industry and the fastest-growing sector of the global economy.

Each month TecTrends Reporters survey developments across the tech industry, and this month I thumb through the TecTrend Reporter on healthcare.

The articles summarized in this issue range from current clinical developments to legal and regulatory issues and the growing crossover of the healthcare and computer sectors.

  • Scientific American looks at the H1N1 flu, commonly called ’swine flu,’ and the gap it has revealed in our ability to track disease patterns among livestock. 
  • Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology reports that the pharma industry is now betting heavily on RNA interference (RNAi) technology to offer subtler, more precisely targeted drugs. A snag: Delivering these drugs to their targets has proven challenging.

Washington’s political fights do not figure heavily in these articles – anyone who wants a dose of healthcare politics will have to go elsewhere. (Don’t worry, politics is easy to find on the Web.)

But some articles here do touch on the real world issues and concerns that have thrust healthcare into the political arena.

  • In Technology Review, Andy Kessler has tough words for the healthcare industry on the subject of digitizing health records. The industry has been in no rush to digitize, he argues, because the current chaotic system helps to ‘keep medicine’s lucrative business model hidden.’
  • Villains are harder to find in Clinical Laboratory News, which looks at the debate in laboratories over testing for deficiency in prohormone Vitamin D. But there is also a back story here involving research findings, the mass media, and the public.

Meanwhile the tech industry is looking for a piece of the healthcare sector.

  • Also from Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology, Microsoft’s health solutions group has grown from four to 400 members. This year Microsoft released its Amalga Life Sciences 2009 solution package for life sciences research information.
  • From Health Management Technology, software as a service (SaaS) is finding a home in the healthcare sector, with NYU’s Langone Medical Center choosing an SaaS system called ePREMIS to straighten out a muddle of legacy administrative and accounting systems.

These are only a handful of the 33 articles conveniently summarized in this month’s TecTrends Reporter on Healthcare. Read the whole Reporter to give you a big picture view of the whirlwhind of activity taking place across the healthcare technology spectrum.

Talking in the Library

October 14th, 2009

Public libraries were the original cloud resource, where generations of kids went for books they could not afford to store locally (i.e. buy), and even more than that, for books they would never have known existed if it weren’t for the library shelves. In spite of dire warnings that public libraries would go the way of the giant auroch, if my local branch is anything to go by they are very much alive.

The public library world, says Zeth Lietzau, was an early adopter of the Web 2.0 idea, starting back in 2004. In U.S. Public Libraries and Web 2.0 – What’s Really Happening? (alas, not available free online), he looks at how well they are doing.

The picture is mixed. This should be no surprise. Big public libraries have done a pretty good job of putting their catalogs online (Open Public Access Catalogs, OPACSs, in the jargon of the trade), and some are experimenting with nifty Amazon style user recommendations and reviews. The thousands of small public libraries are lagging. The one Web 2.0 area where they are more competitive is blogs – though too many public library blogs, says the author, have a single entry dated 2006.

In the same issue of Computers in Libraries, Paula Webb and Muriel Nero examine OPACS in the Clouds. Their focus is academic libraries, but the catalog access services they cover, such as LibraryThing, will find a place in public libraries as well. Complete with those nifty bells and whistles, which can do more than just entertain. Especially intriguing is the role of tags in forming ‘folksonomies,’ linkages among topics that grow up from users, connecting ideas in different ways from standard cataloging taxonomies.

As someone who grew up around libraries, and pays a weekly visit to my local branch, it’s good to see public libraries staying on top of the information world.

The SEO Game

October 4th, 2009

As a writer I have mixed feelings about search engine optimization (SEO). On the one hand, no one writing to engage a human audience wants to do things like beating popular search terms to death with repetition, in hope that a simpleminded search bot will notice them more that way.

On the other hand, I learned the power of search terms a few years ago when my old website turned up as the first Google result for interstellar trade. My top ranking did not bring worlds knocking on my door to broker deals, but it was cool being Google’s go-to guy on the subject. (Alas, economist Paul Krugman once wrote a paper on interstellar trade, and when it got online it knocked me out of the top spot. But I am still on the first page.)

More recently I was delighted – and, the first time, a bit startled – when Amazon.com went live on my work, adding links to relevant books and films. There was the occasional miss (a writer about frontier-era Canada who had the same name as one of Henry VIII’s wives), but all in all it was an impressive display of Amazon’s ad algorithm at work. It did exactly what it was supposed to do, using text I wrote for people, not bots.

All of this – on both hands, so to speak – has confirmed my skepticism about some popular SEO hype.

There is no magic bullet formula for pushing your page up in the the search engine rankings. The story of search for the last 10 years has been people trying to game search engines, starting with simple tricks like white-on-white text, invisible on the page but read by search engines spiders.

Google muscled past the early search leaders like Alta Vista by making search smarter, which in part means not letting themselves be gamed. Their bread and butter is delivering useful search results, and they put a lot of effort into it, because if any other search engine – like, say, Bing – became markedly better at it, Google would be in a world of hurt.

But there is a third hand. I do a lot of search, and on the whole Google works pretty well. Practically none of my search use, however, has anything to do with e-commerce. And on those occasions when my search terms do relate to e-commerce the results get very cluttered very fast. Getting on the first page of results for interstellar trade is one thing. Getting a high page rank for auto parts is another matter. It is hard to blame merchants for struggling to get every bit of advantage they can.

A great deal of SEO, in fact, has nothing to do with fiddling text to game search engines, but is a matter of best practices in website design, such as using meaningful terms for links instead of ‘click here.’ Another part of SEO, perhaps the largest part, amounts to recognizing that search is about words and language, and the ways people use them to look for information online.

So I remain skeptical of anyone who claims, for example, that larding text with some artificial percentage of search terms will improve your rankings. Google has shrewd linguists who have analyzed billions of lines of text; chances are their algorithms can distinguish natural emphasis from artificial larding. But most websites can stand to be cleaned up, and so long as you don’t expect magic bullets, an SEO perspective can help you help the people who might want to find your site.

TecTrends Reporter on New Media: We’re All Social Now

September 14th, 2009

At TecTrends we go through the tech and business press because you don’t have time to. We pull out the most interesting and noteworthy items, and our writers concisely and readably summarize the essentials. Each month we bundle these summaries of  key articles together for a range of major industries in the high tech sector, from Medical Research and Green Technologies to Social Networking and Cloud Computing. Each is indexed by company, product, and search term. These compilations are TecTrends Reporters.

The August TecTrends Reporter on New Media is one of them, summarizing and indexing 26 noteworthy articles relating to some aspect of new media. TecTrends Reporter tells you in a nutshell what the trade and business press is saying now about new media.

We choose the most useful articles, but our software determines the printing sequence. Glancing at the contents page my eye was caught by a fortuitous sequence of titles:

The New Maelstrom of Social Media
Everyone’s Social (Already)
You’re Not Social (Enough)
All (Almost) on the Internet

Together they have a Delphic quality. If you could tune in on the collective buzz of everyone who follows technology, and distill it down, this is what you would hear. Then, as with the oracle, you’d have to make sense of it. But that is what TecTrends Reporters are for.

Everyone has discovered social media. One author grumps about ‘Digg and the Me Generation,’ but businesses are finding an unexpected side effect to the spread of social media: People are talking about them and their products, and they have a chance to join in the conversation. The article just ahead of the quartet I listed, ‘The New Interaction of Social Media’, takes up the theme of using social media to engage with customers. This theme continues with the middle pair of the quartet, ”Everyone’s Social (Already),’ while ‘You’re Not Social (Enough)’ looks at one firm that is fostering its own internal social network.

The last of our quartet, ‘All (Almost) on the Internet,’ is not about social media but the spread of freely available online information, in this case, high quality scientific information. This is on the bright side of the other big story in the world of media:

What is going to happen to print? The first article, ‘The Future of Reading’ looks at another interesting bright side: Many authors are finding that making their books available online helps them sell more print copies, not fewer. Online release triggers online discussion, and the discussion brings in more readers. But newspapers are struggling to cope with the world of online free news. One title, ‘Papers Try to Bridge Print, Web Revenue Gap,’ tells the story in a nutshell; the article describes some of the ways papers are trying to make online content pay. Another article also tells its story up front; ‘Internet Paid Content: Back to the Future?’ (Perhaps, says the author, but first the content providers need to learn what people are willing to pay for.)

It isn’t all social media and print. These are the themes dominating current discussion of new media, but other discussions are going on, and TecTrends Reporter looks in on them. ‘Web 2.0 and the Law,’ looks at the implications of Web 2.0 technology for law enforcement. Another article has a title too long to blog, but shows how application programming interfaces (APIs) can serve as a marketing tool to extend the reach of messages and product information.

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